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September 2, 2022

Anyone can be taken in by financial bubbles, says Lauren French of Ruffer LLP; that's why they're so dangerous.

Anyone can be taken in by financial bubbles; that's why they're so dangerous. It’s also why we at Ruffer believe that navigating bubbles – steering the ship safely past the Charybdis of irrational exuberance – is the most important duty we owe to our clients.

August 30, 2022

The ‘Curse of bigness’ is back: wealth and power are once more concentrated in just a handful of companies, says Laetitia East of Ruffer LLP.

The ‘Curse of bigness’ is back: wealth and power are once more concentrated in just a handful of companies [1].

President Theodore Roosevelt was hailed for dismantling the powerful monopolies which emerged from America’s industrial revolution. Does his trustbusting provide a blueprint for what investors can expect from a revitalised antitrust movement on Capitol Hill?

August 25, 2022

In this week’s FB Roundup, Patrick Drahi is cleared to retain his 18% stake in BT; Brazilian orange juice billionaire José Luis Cutrale passes away aged 75; and Zimbabwean billionaire Strive Masiyiwa acquires an Israeli tech firm for $60 million.

Patrick Drahi cleared to retain his 18% stake in BT
Following an investigation under the new National Security and Investment Act, Kwasi Kwarteng, England's Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, has announced that he will now not be blocking French-Israeli billionaire Patrick Drahi from increasing his stake in telecommunications giant BT.

August 22, 2022

This year, the global population surpassed eight billion people. The extraordinary population growth over the past century has relied upon, and been enabled by, the birth of vast industrial farming systems. Food, on aggregate, is plentiful. Yet today, the dual issues of food security and sustainability loom as large as they have done in the post-industrial era. These megatrends present sources of both investment risk and opportunity, says Harry Sevier of Ruffer LLP.

This year, the global population surpassed eight billion people.

The extraordinary population growth over the past century has relied upon, and been enabled by, the birth of vast industrial farming systems. Food, on aggregate, is plentiful. Yet today, the dual issues of food security and sustainability loom as large as they have done in the post-industrial era. These megatrends present sources of both investment risk and opportunity.

August 1, 2022

In this week’s FB Roundup, Bernie Ecclestone's daughter offers a $7.2 million reward for stolen jewellery; tech tycoon Jack Ma plans to transfer control of the fintech giant Ant Group; and Yang Huiyan, Asia's richest woman, loses half her wealth in China's property crisis.

Bernie Ecclestone's daughter offering $7.2 million reward for stolen jewellery
Tamara Ecclestone, the daughter of British billionaire and ex-Formula One boss Bernie Ecclestone, has made a public offer of up to $7.2 million for information leading to the recovery of jewellery worth more than $31 million.

July 15, 2022

It is hard to overstate how far free and unlimited central bank liquidity has rewired the financial system. As central bankers extract themselves from the monetary rabbit hole they have burrowed their way into, the damage to traditional portfolios is likely to be considerable, says Jamie Dannhauser of Ruffer LLP.

It is hard to overstate how far free and unlimited central bank liquidity has rewired the financial system. As central bankers extract themselves from the monetary rabbit hole they have burrowed their way into, the damage to traditional portfolios is likely to be considerable.

This tightening of monetary policy is happening because inflation has returned – with a vengeance. Central banks are lifting short-term interest rates at a brisk pace. But there is an additional danger for liquidation-prone markets: quantitative tightening (QT).

July 4, 2022

Artificial intelligence and machine learning are both terms that have become murky through over-use and misuse. Investors are increasingly sceptical of companies claiming their technology is powered by AI, says Gabriel Douville, principal of Sectoral Asset Management Inc.

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are both terms that have become murky through over-use and misuse. Investors are increasingly sceptical of companies claiming their technology is powered by AI.

They question if, in fact, the promised mechanics are little more than computer-driven automation or merely standard multiple, or even single, linear regressions. Deeper investigation often reveals the software does not begin to approach sophisticated ML or deep-learning (DL) algorithms.

June 30, 2022

Recession fears and central-bank tightening are driving market volatility. Equity markets are oversold and US core inflation has likely peaked. This should help markets stabilise and possibly recover over the second half of 2022, says Andrew Pease of Russell Investments.

Recession fears and central-bank tightening are driving market volatility. We think equity markets are oversold, and believe US core inflation has likely peaked. In our view, this should help markets stabilise and possibly recover over the second half of 2022.

June 20, 2022

Investors face one of the most complex market environments in history, says Ruffer LLP investment director Alexander Chartres.

Investors face one of the most complex market environments in history.

Simultaneous shifts in the global energy system, geopolitics, demography, technology and much else besides promise a more inflation-prone and volatile world ahead. This brings with it elevated risks, but also potential rewards.

Amidst all the uncertainty, this presentation from Ruffer LLP Investment Director Alexander Chartres will examine what investors can have conviction about.

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