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July 19, 2022

Inflation oscillates: it’s an idea when it’s not about, and a defining feature when it is, says Ruffer LLP chairman Jonathan Ruffer.

Inflation oscillates: it’s an idea when it’s not about, and a defining feature when it is. The only other word which comes to mind with similar status is ‘war’. Irrelevant or inexorable – the human mind finds it hard to make a judgement between the two extremes.

July 15, 2022

It is hard to overstate how far free and unlimited central bank liquidity has rewired the financial system. As central bankers extract themselves from the monetary rabbit hole they have burrowed their way into, the damage to traditional portfolios is likely to be considerable, says Jamie Dannhauser of Ruffer LLP.

It is hard to overstate how far free and unlimited central bank liquidity has rewired the financial system. As central bankers extract themselves from the monetary rabbit hole they have burrowed their way into, the damage to traditional portfolios is likely to be considerable.

This tightening of monetary policy is happening because inflation has returned – with a vengeance. Central banks are lifting short-term interest rates at a brisk pace. But there is an additional danger for liquidation-prone markets: quantitative tightening (QT).

July 4, 2022

Artificial intelligence and machine learning are both terms that have become murky through over-use and misuse. Investors are increasingly sceptical of companies claiming their technology is powered by AI, says Gabriel Douville, principal of Sectoral Asset Management Inc.

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are both terms that have become murky through over-use and misuse. Investors are increasingly sceptical of companies claiming their technology is powered by AI.

They question if, in fact, the promised mechanics are little more than computer-driven automation or merely standard multiple, or even single, linear regressions. Deeper investigation often reveals the software does not begin to approach sophisticated ML or deep-learning (DL) algorithms.

July 4, 2022

“Private equity forms the major part of the economic fabric of many developed countries. Therefore, it shouldn’t be viewed merely as an alternative asset, but rather a building block in the constitution of a portfolio – much like bonds,” says Edouard Nouvellon, founder of European financial consultancy Risk Return.

Private equity-backed companies are a vital part of the economy and a significant driver of economic growth. In France, for instance, 120 of the most promising startups are doubling their turnover every year, according to consultancy firm Roland Berger. By contrast, companies in the CAC index are growing at just 3% a year on average.

June 30, 2022

Recession fears and central-bank tightening are driving market volatility. Equity markets are oversold and US core inflation has likely peaked. This should help markets stabilise and possibly recover over the second half of 2022, says Andrew Pease of Russell Investments.

Recession fears and central-bank tightening are driving market volatility. We think equity markets are oversold, and believe US core inflation has likely peaked. In our view, this should help markets stabilise and possibly recover over the second half of 2022.

June 20, 2022

Investors face one of the most complex market environments in history, says Ruffer LLP investment director Alexander Chartres.

Investors face one of the most complex market environments in history.

Simultaneous shifts in the global energy system, geopolitics, demography, technology and much else besides promise a more inflation-prone and volatile world ahead. This brings with it elevated risks, but also potential rewards.

Amidst all the uncertainty, this presentation from Ruffer LLP Investment Director Alexander Chartres will examine what investors can have conviction about.

June 14, 2022

With interest rates near historic lows, public equity market valuations elevated and bond yields providing slim pickings, it has been extremely challenging to generate returns in traditional assets in recent years, says private markets investment platform Titanbay.

With interest rates near historic lows, public equity market valuations elevated and bond yields providing slim pickings, it has been extremely challenging to generate returns in traditional assets in recent years.

June 10, 2022

Who’d be a central banker today? Once, they were the masters of the universe, bravely slaying the dragon of inflation and slashing interest rates to save the economy in times of peril. Today, they seem powerless to control inflation, says Ruffer LLP’s investment director Steve Russell.

Who’d be a central banker today? Once, they were the masters of the universe, bravely slaying the dragon of inflation and slashing interest rates to save the economy in times of peril.

Today, they seem powerless to control inflation. Fearful of raising interest rates too far, they issue hollow calls for wage restraint. No wonder Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, admitted to MPs recently that “It’s a very, very difficult place for us to be in.”

May 27, 2022

Diversification in private equity is all about striking the right balance and funds in this space are not all alike says private markets investment platform Titanbay.

Private markets are often lauded as being excellent portfolio diversifiers for investors seeking alternative drivers of risk and return. But the diversification possibilities that exist within the private market asset class tend to receive less attention.

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