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economic

July 19, 2022

Inflation oscillates: it’s an idea when it’s not about, and a defining feature when it is, says Ruffer LLP chairman Jonathan Ruffer.

Inflation oscillates: it’s an idea when it’s not about, and a defining feature when it is. The only other word which comes to mind with similar status is ‘war’. Irrelevant or inexorable – the human mind finds it hard to make a judgement between the two extremes.

May 4, 2022

Over the past few years, the world has experienced a global public health crisis, social tensions, technological disruptions and economic turbulence unseen in decades. As a trusted partner and advisor to family offices, BNY Mellon Global Family Office partnered with The Harris Poll to find out how this select group was adapting to these massive and rapid interruptions across the globe.

Over the past few years, the world has experienced a global public health crisis, social tensions, technological disruptions and economic turbulence unseen in decades. As a trusted partner and advisor to family offices, BNY Mellon Global Family Office partnered with The Harris Poll to find out how this select group was adapting to these massive and rapid interruptions across the globe.

April 21, 2022

Inflation-linked bonds are a key defence in a world of deepening negative real yields, says Jasmine Yeo, investment manager at Ruffer LLP.

What was the real return on the US ten-year bond over the past two years? Flat? Down a little?

Wrong – down a lot. The bedrock of the balanced portfolio has delivered a real return of -20% over the past two years [1].

That’s the worst inflation-adjusted performance since 1981 [2].

Traditional balanced portfolios rely on equities and bonds fulfilling their roles – equities for good times, bonds to cushion the bad. But after a torrid three months for markets, investors are being forced to tear up the rulebook.

April 7, 2022

Events in Ukraine are to be seen, first, through the lens of humanity. Through the lens of finance, Russia’s invasion is having the same effect as Covid-19: it is accelerating trends which are already in place. And those trends are inflationary says Ruffer LLP chairman Jonathan Ruffer.

Events in Ukraine are to be seen, first, through the lens of humanity. Through the lens of finance, Russia’s invasion is having the same effect as Covid-19: it is accelerating trends which are already in place. And those trends are inflationary.

September 28, 2021

In a post-pandemic world, many new opportunities and challenges lie ahead for family-owned businesses and business families.

In a post-pandemic world, many new opportunities and challenges lie ahead for family-owned businesses and business families.

September 13, 2021

Reassuring women that their place in the family business is permanent is “absolutely essential” to empower women to become successors, next-gen family business leader and author Priyanka Gupta Zielinski says.

Reassuring women that their place in the family business is permanent is “absolutely essential” to empower women to become successors, next-gen family business leader and author Priyanka Gupta Zielinski says.

August 10, 2021

Is the global economy’s uneven recovery leading to more opportunities for equity managers? The answer: Yes, according to our latest quarterly report on equity managers.

Is the global economy’s uneven recovery leading to more opportunities for equity managers? The answer: Yes, according to our latest quarterly report on equity managers.

June 30, 2021

The global economic reopening remains on track as Covid-19 vaccination rates climb. While rising inflation has become a concern, the spike in prices looks transitory so far. Ultimately, we still like the pandemic recovery trade that favours equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-US stocks over US stocks. 

The global economic reopening remains on track as Covid-19 vaccination rates climb. While rising inflation has become a concern, the spike in prices looks transitory so far. Ultimately, we still like the pandemic recovery trade that favours equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-US stocks over US stocks. 

Key market themes

May 24, 2021

Heineken brews acquisition of South Africa’s Distell Group, Berlusconi family's Fininvest exits Mediobanca, Nathan Cummings Foundation calls for racial equality in impact investing.

Heineken brews acquisition of South Africa’s Distell Group

Family-owned Heineken, the world’s second-largest brewer, could buy a majority share of a unique $1.8 billion South African wine and spirits company, making the deal its second acquisition in 2021.

The fourth-generation Dutch beer maker confirmed last week it is in talks with Distell Group Holdings over a “potential transaction”. The $23.7 billion brewer added discussions were ongoing and there was no certainty an agreement would be reached.

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